Vanke: It received a loan of 1.05 billion yuan from the Postal Savings Bank. On December 10th, Vanke Enterprise Co., Ltd. (Vanke A, 000002.SZ) issued an announcement on providing guarantee for bank loans. According to the announcement, Vanke recently applied for a loan from Shenzhen Luohu Sub-branch of Postal Savings Bank of China Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Postal Savings Bank"), with a total loan principal of RMB 1.05 billion, and subsequent companies will make withdrawals according to business needs. The holding subsidiaries of the Company provide corresponding mortgage and pledge guarantee for the relevant loans respectively, and at the same time, the holding subsidiaries, as co-borrower, undertake repayment obligations together with the Company. After this guarantee, the total external guarantee of the company and its holding subsidiaries will be 118.673 billion yuan, accounting for 4.732% of the company's audited net assets attributable to shareholders of listed companies at the end of 2023.Lian Ping, president of the Chief Industry Research Institute of Guangkai, believes that it is expected to reduce the RRR by about 100 basis points in 2025, releasing more than 3 trillion yuan of liquidity. Among them, there is limited room for reducing the deposit reserve ratio of small and medium-sized financial institutions, and the expected RRR reduction is about 50 basis points.Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.
Market information: Honda will terminate its autonomous driving partnership with General Motors.Guotai Junan: The bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions for a "transformation bull" are taking shape. Guotai Junan Securities recently released the prospect of China's equity investment strategy in 2025, and the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions for a "transformation bull" are taking shape. After a long period of continuous adjustment, pessimistic expectation and clear microstructure, it is a prerequisite for the stock market to have valuation flexibility. The positive change of decision-makers' attitude towards reversing the economic situation and supporting the capital market is an important cornerstone for revising long-term expectations and getting rid of "bear market thinking" and raising the bottom of the stock market. The reform of the capital market will improve shareholders' returns, and resolving debts, promoting reform and stabilizing asset prices are expected to constitute the new "three arrows" of China's economic development, and the transformation bull of China's stock market is taking shape.Galaxy Securities: The 5G+ industrial chain will be developed in a large scale, and the sub-sector prosperity margin will be optimized to improve the quality target. china galaxy Securities said that the demand for communication equipment as the base of the computing infrastructure of the digital economy is expected to usher in high growth, and related sectors may usher in greater opportunities, focusing on the empowerment of related industrial chains by emerging industries such as operators, optical communications, quantum communications and 5G applications. It is suggested to pay attention to: network infrastructure upgrade+telecom operators, optical module leaders, quantum communication leaders, Internet of Things and cutting-edge applications led by central enterprises.
Market information: Honda will terminate its autonomous driving partnership with General Motors.Institution: In November, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in Baicheng dropped by 0.57% month-on-month. According to the 100-city price index of China's real estate index system, in November 2024, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in Baicheng fell by 0.57% month-on-month, narrowing by 0.03 percentage points from last month. It fell by 7.29% year-on-year. In November, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in the top ten cities fell by 0.17% month-on-month, which was 0.16 percentage points lower than that of the previous month. It fell by 7.16% year-on-year, and the decline was narrowed by 0.36 percentage points from the previous month. In terms of cities, the prices of second-hand houses in Shenzhen and Chengdu rose by 0.21% and 0.12% respectively. Nanjing had the largest decline from the previous month, with 0.60%; Wuhan, Hangzhou and Tianjin followed closely, with decreases of 0.43%, 0.42% and 0.31% respectively. Guangzhou, Shanghai and Beijing all experienced month-on-month declines of 0.1%-0.3%; Chongqing (the main city) has the smallest decline of 0.07%. In terms of year-on-year, Wuhan and Nanjing experienced large year-on-year declines, accounting for 10.82% and 10.24% respectively. Chongqing (the main city), Beijing, Hangzhou and Shanghai all experienced year-on-year declines of 7%-9%; The prices of second-hand houses in Tianjin, Guangzhou and Chengdu all fell by 5-7% year-on-year; Shenzhen fell by 4.42% year on year.Xie Yunliang, macro chief analyst of Cinda Securities, said that historically, the establishment of a "moderately loose" policy orientation needs to meet two major conditions, namely, the domestic pressure to stabilize prices is high and the foreign Federal Reserve is in a loose cycle. At present, it is judged that both situations may exist next year.